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  • Disturbance and climate microrefugia mediate tree range shifts during climate change
    Context Many tree species will shift their distribution as the climate continues to change. To assess species’ range changes, modeling efforts often rely on climatic predictors, sometimes incorporating biotic interactions (e.g. competition or facilitation), but without integrating topographic complexity or the dynamics of disturbance and forest succession. Objectives We investigated the role of ‘safe islands’ of establishment (‘‘microrefugia’’) in ...
  • Mapping Tech Key to Data Apps That Bust Silos
    Effective HCPs rely on high quality conservation science and rapidly evolving mapping technologies. Advances in both fields have reached a point of potentially tranforming how HCPs are developed and implemented at any spatial extent. Government, academia, and conservation NGOs have led the way in creating and maintaining the most relevant spatial data and information needed for HCPs, but traditional social ...
  • Climate Change and Future Fire Regimes: Examples from California
    Climate and weather have long been noted as playing key roles in wildfire activity, and global warming is expected to exacerbate fire impacts on natural and urban ecosystems. Predicting future fire regimes requires an understanding of how temperature and precipitation interact to control fire activity. Inevitably this requires historical analyses that relate annual burning to climate variation. Fuel structure plays ...
  • Leveraging the power of place in citizen science for effective conservation decision making
    Many citizen science projects are place-based - built on in-person participation and motivated by local conservation. When done thoughtfully, this approach to citizen science can transform humans and their environment. Despite such possibilities, many projects struggle to meet decision-maker needs, generate useful data to inform decisions, and improve social-ecological resilience. Here, we define leveraging the ‘power of place’ in citizen science ...
  • A platform-independent fuzzy logic modeling framework for environmental decision support
    Fuzzy logic modeling is a useful method for evaluating landscapes for conservation and resource planning and hasbeen successfully used in different types of ecological and environmental studies. A variety of software packageshave been produced to facilitate fuzzy logic modeling, but each is either associated with a specific computer programor does not comprise a complete modeling system. The ...
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